Implications of a Software-Limited Singularity
نویسندگان
چکیده
Anumber of prominent artificial intelligence (AI) researchers and commentators (Moravec 1999a; Solomonoff 1985; Vinge 1993) have presented versions of the following argument: 1. Continued exponential improvement in computer hardware will deliver inexpensive processing power exceeding that of the human brain within the next several decades. 2. If human-level processing power were inexpensive, then the software for AI with broadly human-level (and then superhuman) cognitive capacities would probably be developed within two decades thereafter.
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